Improving Information for Social Policy Decisions -- The Uses of Microsimulation Modeling

by Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education, Commission on Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education, Panel to Evaluate Microsimulation Models for Social Welfare Programs,National Research Council

1991 · National Academies Press

This volume, second in the series, provides essential background material for policy analysts, researchers, statisticians, and others interested in the application of microsimulation techniques to develop estimates of the costs and population impacts of proposed changes in government policies ranging from welfare to retirement income to health care to taxes. The material spans data inputs to models, design and computer implementation of models, validation of model outputs, and model documentation.

Beyond Six Billion

by National Research Council, Commission on Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education, Committee on Population, Panel on Population Projections

2000 · National Academies Press

Is rapid world population growth actually coming to an end? As population growth and its consequences have become front-page issues, projections of slowing growth from such institutions as the United Nations and the World Bank have been called into question. Beyond Six Billion asks what such projections really say, why they say it, whether they can be trusted, and whether they can be improved. The book includes analysis of how well past U.N. and World Bank projections have panned out, what errors have occurred, and why they have happened. Focusing on fertility as one key to accurate projections, the committee examines the transition from high, constant fertility to low fertility levels and discusses whether developing countries will eventually attain the very low levels of births now observed in the industrialized world. Other keys to accurate projections, predictions of lengthening life span and of the impact of international migration on specific countries, are also explored in detail. How good are our methods of population forecasting? How can we cope with the inevitable uncertainty? What population trends can we anticipate? Beyond Six Billion illuminates not only the forces that shape population growth but also the accuracy of the methods we use to quantify these forces and the uncertainty surrounding projections. The Committee on Population was established by the National Academy of Sciences (NAS) in 1983 to bring the knowledge and methods of the population sciences to bear on major issues of science and public policy. The committee's work includes both basic studies of fertility, health and mortality, and migration; and applied studies aimed at improving programs for the public health and welfare in the United States and in developing countries. The committee also fosters communication among researchers in different disciplines and countries and policy makers in government, international agencies, and private organizations. The work of the committee is made possible by funding from several government agencies and private foundations.

Climate Change 1994

by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Working Group I.

1995 · Cambridge University Press

An essential reference work on climate change and the effect of greenhouse gases.

Precollege Science and Mathematics Teachers

by National Research Council, Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education, Commission on Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education, Committee on National Statistics, Panel on Statistics on Supply and Demand for Precollege Science and Mathematics Teachers

1990 · National Academies Press

The report of a panel assembled by the National Research Council to evaluate the statistics on the supply and demand for science and mathematics teachers concludes that the available data are inadequate and presents recommendations for improved data and further research. No index. Acidic paper. Annotation copyrighted by Book News, Inc., Portland, OR

Climate Change 2007 - Mitigation of Climate Change

by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

2007 · Cambridge University Press

The Climate Change 2007 volumes of the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) provide the most comprehensive and balanced assessment of climate change available. This IPCC Working Group III volume provides a comprehensive, state-of-the-art and worldwide overview of scientific knowledge related to the mitigation of climate change. It includes a detailed assessment of costs and potentials of mitigation technologies and practices, implementation barriers, and policy options for the sectors: energy supply, transport, buildings, industry, agriculture, forestry and waste management. It links sustainable development policies with climate change practices. This volume will again be the standard reference for all those concerned with climate change, including students and researchers, analysts and decision-makers in governments and the private sector.